Top FPL Gameweek 3 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Captaincy this week is quite tricky with a lot of good options. Jesus is in form, Salah plays Man United against whom he’s on the scoresheet mostly, and last week’s popular captain choice Haaland is still a popular option even though he didn’t score last week. Let’s look at who tops our FPL Gameweek 3 captaincy metrics.

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FPL GW3 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

Jesus tops the captaincy poll with nearly 40% of the votes this week, he returned 19 points against Leicester in GW2 and plays Bournemouth who conceded 4 goals against Man City last week. Salah is the second most popular captain choice this week with 35% votes. Haaland is the third most captaincy choice this week in a somewhat tricky fixture away at Newcastle. KDB who outscored Haaland in GW2 is the fourth most popular choice and Kane comes fifth in the captaincy poll for GW3. The five players going into metrics this week are Jesus, Salah, Kane, Haaland and KDB.

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 3 Captain picks

Jesus is the only player on the list to cross 2.0 xG in the first two games after a stellar performance against Leicester. Haaland is closely behind with an xG of 1.80 and tops the big chances chart. Salah surprisingly has an xG of less than 1.0 from the first two games but surprisingly has created more chances than KDB. But with Nunez out Salah should be back racking up the big chances and xG. KDB is the last in terms of xG which is known as he’s more of a creator and scores from low xG chances.

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate's Teams

Man City top the team stats with an xG of 3.98, Arsenal are close to Man City and play the team Man City played in GW2. Liverpool have had more shots but have not scored freely in the first two games. Spurs are last in terms of xG after a tricky fixture vs Chelsea in GW2.

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW3

KDB, Salaah and Haaland all have the same odds of scoring one goal and scoring 2.5+ goals this week. Jesus/Kane are also not far behind with a 38% odds of scoring 2.5+ goals this week. The closeness in the odds of 2.5+ goals this week tells how tight captaincy is this week.

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 3 Captain Picks

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 3 Captain Picks

Salah tops the projected points return and Kane is close behind missing out by just 0.1. kdb and Haaland also have a points projection of 6.0 plus.

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 3 Captaincy metric analysis

Haaland comfortably tops the metrics thanks to a great fixture and team attack rank. Salah is second in the metrics. KDB is third with a CRF of 11, Jesus is fourth with a CRF of 12. Kane comes last this week in the metrics with a CRF of 14.

Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW3

FPL Gameweek 3 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold and Sell
Top FPL Gameweek 3 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW3 Scout Picks | FPLDaggaFC & AllAboutFPL

FPL GW3 Differential Picks to Consider Ahead of GW3 Deadline
FPL GW3 Transfer Trends, Best Transfer Combinations & Tips
FPL GW3 Preview: Breaking Down FPL Dilemmas for Gameweek 3

Best £4.5-5.5 Midfielders- Bailey Replacements Ahead Of FPL GW3
SPITCH Matchday 3 Preview | Top Picks, Tips & Team Reveal
FPL GW3 Fixtures & Players To Target | Best Matchups | FPL Paz

Predicted GW3 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams
FPL Stats Of Shithousery | GW2 Team Of The Weak

FPL GW2 Review Based on Eye Test & Stats | FPL Trybe
FPL GW3 Wildcard Team & Drafts To Consider | Wildcard Guide
How Premier League Footballers fared as FPL Managers in GW2?
FPL GW3 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More

Link to all our FPL GW3 blogs including fixtures to target, predicted 11, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

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AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He’s 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools.

He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field.

He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1