Warriors wouldn’t stand a chance at NBA’s play-in tournament, unless something changes

What kind of chance would you give the Warriors if they qualify for the NBA’s play-in tournament? The way things look right now, not much.

The first thing to know is that the conventional route to the playoffs — finishing in the top six — is completely out. Heading into Saturday night’s play, No. 6 Portland (29-19) held a huge lead over the 10th-ranked Warriors (23-26), and the edge looks even more dramatic if you’ve watched those two teams play of late.

As it stands, the Warriors would join Dallas, San Antonio and Memphis in the 7-10 group. Those are three teams (especially the Mavericks) who feel good about their prospects and have plenty of motivation to take a shot at the Western Conference elite. Even the two teams directly below the Warriors, Sacramento and New Orleans, seem locked into a more positive frame of mind.

If it seems awkward to speculate right now, it’s no more ridiculous than the NBA’s hopelessly drawn-out season itself, about to enter that dreadful stretch in which the story lines are firmly set and start the playoffs, already. Instead, we’ll get weeks of tedium, fearing that no more superstars get hurt.

Then again, if you’re into tedium, the Warriors are your team. They’re going to need an emotional makeover at a time when a familiar concern — Stephen Curry’s health — is in play. They’d love a shot at the playoffs because they have pride, and even a fleeting experience would be beneficial for the team’s young players. But when Draymond Green recently admitted being less than thrilled about being stuck in a play-in tournament, he spoke for many.

The world of what-if

Nobody works a room better than LeBron James. He’s the man who has everything, but never stops recruiting. You’ve probably heard the unsubstantiated rumor about his latest target — Curry — and it’s at least worth a bar-talk discussion as the regular season drones on.

The odds are stacked overwhelmingly in the Warriors’ favor. Curry isn’t the type to bail out on his cherished franchise after a depressing few months of play. He’s excited about next season’s prospects, he likes the idea of spending an entire career with one team, and as he comes up for a contract extension this summer, before becoming a free agent in 2022, everyone expects that deal to be done. Majority owner Joe Lacob leans toward extravagance when a crucial decision looms, and he’s not about to let Curry walk under any circumstances.

James doesn’t care about any of this. That was apparent at the All-Star Game, where he engaged Curry in a number of warm-hearted conversations and made certain to include the world’s greatest shooter on his team. These two haven’t been the best of friends; on the contrary, they had some bitter exchanges over the course of four Finals-bound years. But LeBron is no fool. Put Curry on the Lakers, with the rest of that talented group, and it’s one of the most heavenly two-man alignments in league history.

Especially if you could turn back the clock about five years.

James gives the impression he just might play forever, but in this mythical scenario — Curry joining the Lakers for the 2022-23 season — James would be turning 38, with 19 seasons in his wake. Curry may be the world’s most youthful veteran superstar, but he turned 33 last month. As often as “old guys win” in the NBA, this would be a curious commitment on Curry’s part. A more likely scenario, should he leave the Bay Area, would be spending his final season or two back home in Charlotte.