After a brutal start, the Detroit Pistons (4-10) are playing much better basketball and they will face a tough test on Friday evening. Detroit welcomes the Golden State Warriors (13-2) to Little Caesars Arena, with the visitors facing the second half of a back-to-back set. Andre Iguodala (hip) is day-to-day for Golden State, while Klay Thompson (Achilles) and James Wiseman (knee) remain out indefinitely. Veteran big man Kelly Olynyk (knee) is out for Detroit.
Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET in Detroit. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a seven-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 209.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Pistons odds. Before making any Pistons vs. Warriors picks or NBA predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $900 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 113-75 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in on Warriors vs. Pistons and just released its coveted NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pistons vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Pistons spread: Warriors -7
- Warriors vs. Pistons over-under: 209.5 points
- Warriors vs. Pistons money line: Warriors -300, Pistons +240
- GS: The Warriors are 7-9 against the spread in the last 16 games on the second night of a back-to-back
- DET: The Pistons are 6-8 against the spread this season
Featured Game | Detroit Pistons vs. Golden State Warriors
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State leads the NBA in net rating, out-scoring opponents by well over 10 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors lead the NBA in defensive rating, giving up less than a point per possession, and the Pistons rank in the bottom three in scoring 99.8 points per 100 possessions. Detroit is last in the NBA in shooting efficiency on offense, and the Pistons are allowing opponents to shoot 48.1 percent from the floor on defense.
The Warriors are led by a potent offensive attack featuring Stephen Curry. Golden State leads the NBA in assists and assist percentage. The Warriors have been impressively capable in closing possessions with an elite defensive rebound rate, and the Pistons haven’t proven to be able to attack quality defenses. With Detroit also committing a turnover on 16 percent of offensive possessions, Golden State could find success in transition, particularly if the Pistons fail to keep a close eye on Curry.
Why the Pistons can cover
After a ghastly start, the Pistons are 3-2 in their last five games. Detroit is finding its footing as No. 1 pick Cade Cunningham settles in. He is averaging 20.5 points, 8.0 rebounds and 7.0 assists in the last two games. The Pistons are excellent at generating free-throw attempts, ranking No. 3 in the league with 21.3 attempts per game. Detroit is also solidly above-average in assist rate (60.0 percent) and offensive rebound rate (27.8 percent).
On defense, the Pistons are facing a tough challenge, but Detroit has been effective in generating havoc. Detroit is forcing a turnover on 17.1 percent of defensive possessions and, if there is a weakness for Golden State on either end, it comes with its bottom-10 ranking in the NBA in ball security.
How to make Warriors vs. Pistons picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with only six players projected to score in double figures. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Warriors vs. Pistons pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Pistons? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Pistons spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.