Playoff-bound teams square off on Tuesday at United Center. The Chicago Bulls host the Milwaukee Bucks, with the Bulls entering at 27-11 at home and 45-33 overall. Milwaukee is 22-16 on the road and 48-30 overall this season. Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) is listed as probable for Milwaukee. Zach LaVine (knee) is listed as probable for Chicago, with Matt Thomas (leg) listed as questionable and Lonzo Ball (knee) ruled out.
Tipoff is at 8 p.m. ET in Chicago. Milwaukee is a 4.5-point favorite on the road, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 229.5 in the latest Bucks vs. Bulls odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before making any Bulls vs. Bucks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 25 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 84-54 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Bucks vs. Bulls, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Bucks vs. Bulls:
- Bucks vs. Bulls spread: Bucks -4.5
- Bucks vs. Bulls over-under: 229.5 points
- Bucks vs. Bulls money line: Bucks -190, Bulls +160
- MIL: The Bucks are 7-6 against the spread in division games
- CHI: The Bulls are 9-6 against the spread in division games
Featured Game | Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Why the Bucks can cover
Milwaukee is a two-way squad with strengths on both ends. The Bucks allow only 1.11 points per possession on defense, and Milwaukee is No. 2 in the NBA in defensive rebound rate at 74.6 percent. The Bucks are in the top six of the league in free-throw attempts allowed (20.0 per game), fast-break points allowed (11.2 per game), and points allowed in the paint (43.6 per game), with opponents shooting only 45.6 percent from the floor. Chicago ranks in the bottom three of the NBA in offensive rebound rate and second-chance points, allowing Milwaukee to close possessions effectively.
On the other end, the Bucks are in the top five of the NBA in points per possession (1.14) and 3-point accuracy (36.7 percent), with above-average metrics in 2-point shooting (54.2 percent), free-throw attempts (22.8 per game) and ball security (13.5 turnovers per game). Chicago is also vulnerable on defense, landing in the bottom 10 of the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed, turnover creation and points allowed per possession.
Why the Bulls can cover
Chicago is a fantastic offensive team, scoring 112.7 points per 100 possessions. The Bulls are particularly elite in shooting accuracy, ranking No. 3 in the NBA in field-goal percentage at 48.0 percent. Chicago is also in the top four of the league in 3-point shooting (36.8 percent) and free-throw shooting (81.3 percent). The Bulls bolster their efficiency with tremendous ball security, committing only 12.6 turnovers per game, and the Bucks have notable defensive shortcomings. Milwaukee is last in the league in 3-pointers allowed, and the Bucks rank No. 28 in blocked shots and No. 25 in turnover creation.
The Bulls are also in the top tier of the NBA in defensive rebound rate, securing 73.6 percent of available rebounds, and opponents are making only 11.6 3-pointers per game against Chicago.
How to make Bucks vs. Bulls picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with six players projected to score at least 19 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Bulls vs. Bucks pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bucks vs. Bulls? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bucks vs. Bulls spread you need to jump on Tuesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.