Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase AFC Championship Prop Shopping | by Dan | Jan, 2022

January 28, 2022 c_admin Fantasy Sports Comments Off on Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase AFC Championship Prop Shopping | by Dan | Jan, 2022

Two LSU legends play for a trip to the Super Bowl so let’s take a look at their prop market ahead of the Bengals biggest game in 33 years.

The Bengals remarkable turnaround in 2021 was thanks largely to a couple of LSU legends. The now-healthy Joe Burrow and newly-drafted Ja’Marr Chase have Cincinnati in their first AFC Championship Game since the 1988 season. With sports betting launching in Louisiana on Friday, here’s a look at the prop markets for Burrow and Chase at some of the books that start taking bets at 8am Friday morning.

DraftKings Sportsbook: Over/Under 285.5 (-115)

BetMGM: Under 286.5 (-115)/Over 286.5 (-110)

FanDuel Sportsbook: Over/Under 287.5 (-114)

DraftKings Sportsbook: Under 38.5 (-105)/Over 38.5 (-125)

BetMGM: Under 38.5 (-110)/Over 38.5 (-120)

DraftKings Sportsbook: Under 24.5 (+100)/Over 24.5 (-130)

BetMGM: Under 24.5 (+100)/Over 24.5 (-135)

In the game against the Chiefs four weeks ago, Burrow was 30–39 for 446 yards and four touchdown passes. The circumstances are different in a lot of ways here, though. The last game was in Cincinnati and the Bengals had a lot more to play for than the Chiefs. That said, Burrow got the Bengals to the dance here and it’s hard to imagine him not shouldering the load on Sunday. The Bengals have run less than 150 yards total in their first two playoff games and given the explosive power of the Chiefs offense, particularly with them playing at home, it’s easy to envision the Bengals being in a negative game state and Burrow having to throw the ball a lot. Even though he got sacked nine times against Tennessee, Burrow still threw the ball 37 times. His attempts and completion prop numbers are the same at all of these books and the yardage prop is so close, that if you’re considering betting any of these props I would bet them at the shop with the least amount of juice.

DraftKings Sportsbook: Over/Under 87.5 (-115)

FanDuel Sportsbook: Over/Under 85.5 (-114)

DraftKings Sportsbook: Under 5.5 (+120)/Over 5.5 (-160)

FanDuel Sportsbook -115

Chase had a monster game the first time around against the Chiefs hauling in 11 catches for 266 yards and three touchdowns. In the playoffs so far, Chase has gone over 100 yards in each playoff game so far, but has yet to find the endzone. I certainly understand the argument that the Chiefs will try and take him away from Burrow as much as possible, opening up the other receiving options in Cincinnati to get some catches. That said, The Burrow-to-Chase connection has been special this year, and as I mentioned earlier, this is a spot where the Bengals might have to throw the ball a lot. The juice on the receptions over isn’t to my liking, but the receiving yards prop looks good and with a lower total and cent less juice, FanDuel is the place to bet it.

BetMGM: Chase +850, Burrow +5000

FanDuel Sportsbook: Chase +800, Burrow +3000

If you’re new to sports betting and you really want to bet on either guy, look at the first touchdown prop. Chase is fourth on the board for the first touchdown prop behind Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and Joe Mixon. He’s a really decent option. If you want to get crazy with it, use that risk-free bet on Burrow. He only has two rushing touchdowns this season and only had three last year before his ACL injury, but he’s mobile enough where he could score inside the five or ten on a play other than a QB sneak. These longshots are longshots for a reason, but there’s also no better feeling in sports betting than hitting a longshot. BetMGM and FanDuel have $1,000 risk-free bets for new users and Caesars offers a first bet match up to $1,001, so with these risk-free options the smart play is to take swings with longshots because worst case scenario you’re going to be getting free money back in some form or fashion.