The Golden State Warriors will try to build off a huge win when it hosts the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday night in a matchup of contenders from the Western Conference. Golden State (43-17) busted out with a 132-95 blowout of Portland on Thursday after going into the All-Star break with one win in its previous five games. Eight players hit double figures in scoring against the Blazers, with Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson leading the way with 18 apiece. The Mavericks came up short against hot-shooting Utah on Friday, losing 114-109 in their first game off the break.
Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a four-point favorite in its latest Mavericks vs. Warriors odds, and the over-under for total points is set at 219.5. Before you make any Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 18 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 69-41 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Mavericks, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavericks vs. Warriors:
- Mavericks vs. Warriors spread: Golden State -4
- Mavericks vs. Warriors over-under: 219.5 points
- DAL: The Mavericks are 9-7 ATS this season as a road underdog
- GSW: The Warriors are 8-6-2 ATS with a rest advantage this year
Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State is 26-6 straight-up and 17-13-2 against the spread at home, and it gutted the Mavericks 103-92 when the teams met in San Francisco a month ago. The Warriors shot 53.3 percent from the field and outrebounded Dallas 58-39, with 17 more defensive boards. Curry had 18 points and nine rebounds, and rookie Jonathan Kuminga finished with 22 points. Curry averages 25.7 points and 6.5 assists per game, while shooting 37.8 percent from 3-point range.
Thompson and Andrew Wiggins are big parts of an offense that scores 111 points per game (10th in NBA). The Warriors also are sixth in both 3-point shooting (36.2) and field-goal percentage (46.7), with Wiggins making 40.9 percent from long range and Thompson at 38.5. Golden State also has been excellent on the defensive end, allowing just 103. 6 points (fourth in NBA) and 43.2 percent shooting (second).
Why the Mavericks can cover
Dallas is 17-7 against the spread after a loss, and it led by seven at halftime Friday against the Jazz but faltered down the stretch. It has one of the NBA’s most complete players in Luka Doncic, who is sixth in scoring (27.4) and fifth in assists (9.1) and gets a team-high nine rebounds per game. He has 51 points over the two meetings against Golden State this season. Dallas was badly outrebounded in the last matchup, but it was even at 46-46 in the previous one, and it has won four of the past five road tilts.
The Mavericks are 17-12 ATS on the road, and Dwight Powell had a season-high 22 points on Friday. Someone will need to step up to help after Doncic scored 25 but no other player topped 11 in the last meeting. It also could be Spencer Dinwiddie, who had 20 against the Jazz, or Jalen Brunson, who’s averaging 16.1 points per game. The Mavericks are second in the NBA in scoring defense (103.2 per game), and opponents are shooting just 33.6 percent from 3-point range (sixth).
How to make Mavericks vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 223 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits nearly 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.