Top FPL Gameweek 5 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics

Gameweek 4 was just over and it was a high-scoring one with popular FPL assets Haaland, Kane, Luis Diaz, and TAA all returning big hauls. Thanks to the Worldcup we have another deadline coming up midweek and in this blog let’s take a look at the top captaincy option for Gameweek 5 based on our metrics.

The metrics had a 30/38 “returns record” last season and so far has a 4/4 “returns record” with Haaland topping the metrics in GW4 and returning with 34 points. Do follow the man behind the metrics @AK_FPL1(Do follow him on Twitter)

Note: “Returns” ~ player topping the metrics getting points returns and not necessarily the highest scoring option of the week. Metrics total points so far: 80 points(24+10+12+34)

Link to all our FPL GW5 blogs including fixtures to target, predicted 11, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL GW4 Captaincy poll ~ Wisdom Of the Crowd

Haaland tops the captaincy poll for Gameweek 5 with over 50% of the votes and it was widely expected after his 17 points haul against Crystal Palace. Salah is second most voted with nearly 23% of the votes. Gabriel Jesus, Harry Kane, and KDB complete the top five from the poll this week and will go into the captaincy metrics for the week.

Further Read: FPL GW5 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of GW5 Deadline

Underlying Numbers of the FPL Gameweek 5 Captain picks

Haaland once again dominates the other captaincy choices for individual stats with 17 shots inside the box and a whopping 10 big chances. Kane is the second best for big chances with 5 of them. Salah has created more chances(15) than even KDB(14) which is quite surprising. Salah has decent numbers but the likes of Haaland, Jesus, and Kane have all had brilliant starts to the season which means Salah only ranks fourth in the player’s attack rank based on xG.

Further Read: FPL GW5 Preview: Breaking Down FPL Dilemmas for Gameweek 5

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate’s Teams

Underlying Numbers of the Candidate's Teams

Liverpool have the most shots inside the box(56) amongst the candidate’s team but it’s Man City that dominates the big chances with 17 of them 3 more than Liverpool who have 14 themselves. The 9-0 win over Bournemouth means Liverpool have closed the bridge to Man City and Arsenal in terms of xG but it’s still Man City(8.82) and Arsenal(8.0) ahead of Liverpool(7.97). Spurs have decent numbers but aren’t close to Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal yet.


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Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW5

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW5

The odds are phenomenally in favour of Man City with a whopping 96% of odds of at least one goal and 73% odds of at least two goals vs newly promoted Nottingham Forest at home. Liverpool are second with a 90% odds of one goal and 50% chances of 2+ goals, Newcastle being a tricky side means the chances of 2+ goals are lesser compared to Man City. Arsenal have good odds as well against struggling Aston Villa with an 85% chance of one goal and 38% chance of 2+ goals. A tricky game against West Ham means Spurs are the last in terms of fixture difficulty.

Further Read: Predicted GW5 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams

Projections Rank of our FPL Gameweek 5 Captain Picks

Fixture Difficulty of the candidate team in FPL GW5

The points projections are close between Salah, KDB, and Haaland. Salah has an anytime returns of 65% with Haaland topping it with 78%, KDB very close with 76%. Interestingly due to xMins KDB outscored Haaland in terms of points projections with KDB having a points projection of 8 whereas Haaland is joint second with Salah(7.4).

Further Read: FPL GW5 Preview: Breaking Down FPL Dilemmas for Gameweek 5

Conclusion – Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 5 Captaincy metric analysis

Conclusion - Final Rank from our FPL Gameweek 5 Captaincy metric analysis

It’s a clean sweep for Haaland getting the lowest possible CRF of 4 in the metrics. Only rarely does a player top the metrics with such low CRF(Cumulative Rank Factor), KDB is second with a CRF of 8 having topped the Safety + Explosion Rank with Haaland. Salah is only third with a CRF of 14 with Jesus close behind with a CRF of 15. Kane finishes last with a CRF of 16.

Remember the player with the lowest CRF is the best captaincy option according to our captaincy metrics.

Thanks for checking out the captaincy metrics for FPL Gameweek 5. Good luck!

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Further reads from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL GW5

FPL GW5 Differential Picks To Consider Ahead Of GW5 Deadline
Top FPL Gameweek 5 Captain Picks Based on Analysis & Metrics
FPL GW5 Preview: Breaking Down FPL Dilemmas for Gameweek 5
Predicted GW5 Lineups of All 20 Premier League Teams
FPL Gameweek 5 Transfer Tips: Two Players to Buy, Hold and Sell
FPL GW5 Scout Picks | FPLDaggaFC & AllAboutFPL
FPL GW5 Ultimate Guide: Tips, Differentials, Captaincy & More
FPL GW5 Wildcard Team & Drafts to Consider | Wildcard Guide
FPL Stats Of Shithousery | GW4 Team Of The Weak

Link to all our FPL GW5 blogs including fixtures to target, predicted 11, differentials, captaincy metrics, transfer trends, and more. Completely free to access as well!

FPL Gameweek 5 AAFPL Stream on our YouTube Channel

Do give our stream a watch we cover all things FPL GW5 including captaincy, differentials, tips covered in 50 minutes. Subscribe to our channel if you haven’t already

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What’s next from ALLABOUTFPL ahead of FPL Gameweek 5 of the 2022/23 FPL Season?

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Our content is always free and if you like our content do drop a comment, follow, subscribe, and support us. Your love is what keeps us going:)

Before going further, do vote for us in the Football Content Awards under the Best in Fantasy Football Editorials category. The voting is simple, you just need to click vote for me and your votes for allaboutfpl will be automatically registered. The name and email are optional and you can click vote for me only once!

Allaboutfpl is completely 100% free to access and will remain the same. We do not like putting a paywall on our blogs and disappoint our readers like other websites (Not naming anyone😉). So you can continue to scroll and read without having to pay.

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AK is a big Chelsea fan and has been playing FPL since 2012/13. He has finished in the top 5k three times with a Best Overall Rank of 1,140 in the 17/18 season. He’s 250th in the FFS HoF and is ranked 7th in India in All-time FPL Rank on Premier Fantasy Tools.

He believes in the Eye test and uses statistics to verify them. AK takes a keen interest in Football tactics and strategies on the field.

He can be found here: https://twitter.com/AK_FPL1