Isaac Paredes Scouting Report | Fantasy Baseball Analysis

Isaac Paredes has been mashing lately. (Canadian Press)

Welcome back to another week of Fantasy baseball. July is here, and soon, the All-Star break… so you better milk the waiver wire while you still have a shot.

This week, Aaron Judge‘s historic season added another accolade as he led all players in All-Star voting; the Freddie Freeman free agency fiasco took another turn; and Kyle Tucker‘s sneakiness backfired as he was thrown out trying to steal home.

And now, let’s get to this week’s…

Isaac Paredes, 2B, Tampa Bay Rays (ESPN: 29.6 per cent; CBS: 50 per cent): Paredes is simply red hot over the last week or so, proving extremely productive by hammering six dingers over seven games heading into action Friday. He’s been as hot as almost anyone (1074 OPS) over the course of June, but it’s been the shocking uptick in his extra-base power that has really stood out so far this season. Now, if Paredes would just get back to hitting line drives at the rate he did previously in his career, we could see even more impressive results. For a middle infielder, he has surprisingly inept speed, but he’s got a great arm with a solid hit tool and pop. Update: as we were editing this article, Paredes hit another jack (see video below).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJxrk6rRTP8?feature=oembed

Will Smith, RP, Atlanta Braves (ESPN: 26.1 per cent; CBS: 32 per cent): Smith, along with A.J. Minter, is bagging saves in Atlanta while Kenley Jansen (irregular heartbeat) is out. While Minter is having the better season, Smith has a much longer track record as a closer, and he bounced back nicely in June after a somewhat rough May. While Smith is still seeking his first win of the season (he’s never had a winless campaign in his career), he has managed this year to consolidate his ERA improvements from 2021. We think these gains are real based on him trimming both his flyball and line drive rates.

Gio Urshela, 3B/SS, Minnesota Twins (ESPN: 23.3 per cent; CBS: 35 per cent): Urshela dealt with some injury issues last year, but even in being more or less fully healthy this year, he is still regressing offensively. Having said that, we love how he’s improved his contact rate this season, and looking beyond his sliding slash line, the counting cat numbers he’s piled up this year deserve your attention. If Urshela can just reverse that downward line drive rate trend, we’d get really excited.

Nico Hoerner, 2B/SS, Chicago Cubs (ESPN: 17.8 per cent; CBS: 37 per cent): Hoerner, who was among our Top 40 Prospects before graduating from our list last year, has really built on what he accomplished last year. On Friday, he got on base for the ninth straight game, and has gotten better and better as the season has progressed. We’re not sure what happened to Hoerner’s walk rate this year, but it’s not adversely affecting his performance. More and more each year, pitchers are throwing fewer fastballs at him given how well he’s hit them — especially last year. This season, however, Hoerner is feasting on sliders more than any other offering.

Quick Hits

  • As a minor leaguer, Nick Castellanos was billed as someone that would be a consistent .300 hitter in the bigs. Ah, yeah… about that. Last year, he finally topped the mark for the first time in his career, and this season? How about .245 after his 0-for-4 on Friday? Castellanos cut his K rate last month, yet his BA has been in free fall since the end of April. We’re sure the Phils were expected more productivity from this acquisition.
  • Before Friday’s outing against the Phils, which wasn’t that bad (just two of the four runs he allowed were earned), Miles Mikolas had been on a very sweet roll and now has five straight starts with two earned runs or fewer allowed. He was nearly unhittable in June and has already more than doubled last year’s win total.
  • Aroldis Chapman has been activated off the IL (Achilles tendinitis), but he won’t necessarily be reclaiming his traditional closer role. Chad Green (Tommy John surgery) is done for the year, but with Clay Holmes pitching dominantly, Chapman will be asked to throw in several different situations. This could be very interesting.
  • Eduardo Escobar supplied most of the Mets’ offense on Friday with a three-run bomb, but he’s been slumping lately and hasn’t had a multi-hit game since June 10. After a nice April, it’s been a scuffle, and really the best you can say about Escobar is he’s been healthy this season when many of his teammates have been hurt. Don’t be surprised if he doesn’t lose his job soon.
  • With Carlos Santana dealt to Seattle, Vinnie Pasquantino has taken over first base in K.C. On Friday, Pasquantino delivered his first hit — a solo jack. Expect plenty of those and lots of walks, but surprisingly few strikeouts.
  • Oakland outfielder Chad Pinder snapped a long slump with two hits, including a double on Friday. He’s gotten progressively worse as the season has gone on, and given how poorly he hit in June, he’s likely on borrowed time. Pinder has nearly matched the number of at-bats he got all last year, but he’ll need a bit more of what he showed Friday to last as a (nearly) full-time player.

RotoRob Tune of the Day

Canadian songwriter Corneille was born March 24, 1977, and has been active as a musician since 1993. Here’s the title track off his debut album Parce qu’on vient de loin.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yg4yWdeW8C4?feature=oembed

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